Trading Forex

The delusion conceptually propounds that intraweek and intraday FOREX currency quotes movement is governed by either improvement or by deterioration of the state’s economic situation. But in reality, even in case the actual Forex news are superior to the estimated one, the FOREX quotes up/down movement is of 50/50 probability.

This statement is thoroughly important. Once the job of Forex trader is gambling on FOREX exchange rates differential (FOREX pairs up/down movement), the following is to be realized to obtain faultless profit:

FOREX pairs pricing mechanism (say at point X where you are completing the market analysis)

Factors imparting growth/decline to FOREX rates (up/down from point X).

Thus, having understood the FOREX ratesfactors effective at the extra-exchange (book-maker) FOREX market and the given currency motive factors, a trader must possess distinct knowledge of whether to buy or to sell the given currency pair.

So, what are these factors?

FOREX student suggest unambiguous interpretation of factors responsible for the price formation and the fluctuations there of:

Forex rate constitutes a demand-supply balance for a given goods (currency).

Any violation of this balance, (for instance, in case where the estimated news is in disagreement with the issued official one), results in the FOREX rates reciprocation in chase of a new demand-supply balance. Poor demand brings about decline in a certain currency rate, with a high demand leading to the growth of the latter. The situation continues as long as the currency buy/sell demand comes to balance at another level or at another point.

Referring to the B. Williams (“Trading Chaos 2” Chapter 1 “The market is what you are thinking of it”):

Each world market is dedicated to distribute or share limited amount of something… among those desirous to obtain it most of all. The market affects it by way of finding out and identifying the exact price? Underlying the buyer’/sellers’ power absolute equilibrium point.

The above point is readily established by stock, futures, bonds, FOREX and options markets, be it either via an open auction or by virtue of a computerized facility. Markets spot this point prior to any misbalance being detectable by You or by me or even by traders at the exchange floor.

With this scenario holding true – and it really does – we are in position to jump at certain simple yet important conclusions as regards the information being circulated through the market and enjoying doubtless acceptance”.

Thomas Demark was more laconic in “Technical analysis – an emerging science”:

“Price movement is governed by demand and supply. Should demand exceed supply, there’s a price rally and if visa versa, there’s a price decline. All economists do share these underlying principles”.

Hence, the role of fundamental analysis for FOREX market is readily apparent.

In scholar fiction one will discover roughly the following explanation, persistently wandering from book to book, from site to site and suggesting attaining successful trading at FOREX market by way of scrutinizing the country’s economic fundamental data, viz. by tracking the factors reflective of the country’s economy condition as below:

State economy condition dynamics indicators (GDP, trade & payments balance, current account, industrial production, etc. It is knowledge, that the higher the above indicators – the faster the economic and the currency price growth);

Stock indices, via average arithmetic index of the country’s securities market condition and dynamics. E.g.: 0.3% daily DJI growth in the USA means that this certain day the shares of 30 leading US companies, being pictured by DJU, went 0.3% more expensive. By similarity, DAX30 is the major German index, incorporating the price of shares of the country’s 30 leading companies.

The country’s interest rate, since the higher the rate, the greater number of investors is eager to invest into the country’s economy and hence into national currency strength.

Rate of inflation (the higher the rate, the quicker the National Bank will hike the interest rate). With this assumption, the CPI constitutes a key factor.

Money supply growth in domestic market, which fact brings about the inflation, leading to the interest rate hike.

The country’s gold and currency reserve assets.

Variation dynamics correlation of: balances of payment, trade balance, state budget, gross domestic product (GDP), etc.

Trade and industry dynamics (industrial production, industrial orders, DGO, capacity utilization, retail sales, etc.)

Construction statistics (construction spending, new home sales, housing under construction, building permits, etc.)

Labor statistics (unemployment rate, new jobs, etc.)

Society investigations (consumer confidence, consumer sentiment, purchase managers and service managers sentiment, etc.)

To be considered additionally are the country’s political stability and tranquility (clearly, any political, natural and other cataclysms are sure to turn investors nervous making them withdraw the investments from the country, thus weakening its national currency). And with the currency being the national economy derivative, changes in economic data will inevitably result in the above currency rate movement.

Conclusions:

Progress in economy results in the currency exchange rate rally.

Decrease in economic indicators leads to the national currency rate decline.

To sum it up, critical economic and political news (whose calendar is issued in advance and is familiar to any trader) constitute a standing factor giving rise to misbalance and causing the currency rate fluctuations.

In anticipation of important economic and political news FOREX pair crawl to the rates as inspired by the estimates (“rumored trade”), whereas upon actual news there occurs a pulse motion of FOREX pairs in accordance with the scheme below;

Forex rate grows if actual news are better than the estimated one;

Forex rate declines if actual news are worse than the estimated one.

ARE YOU FAMILIAR WITH THESE ABC BASICS OF STUDYING FOREX?

Do you accept that one can earn money by way of using these basics, known to every trader?

Then why, having absorbed these economic axioms, 90% of Forex traders in the world are losers rather than winners.

Where is the delusion of the above ABC truth, nudging traders towards losses? Let us perform sort of point-by-point analysis.

The currency exchange FOREX market is a book-makers one. It is gambling on rates difference without direct money delivery to the exchange market, except for hedging of traders’ funds by Forex brokers, via buy-sell difference especially during strong trends). Then, www.forexite.com reads: “Trading is performed without actual currencies supply, which fact cuts overheads and enables Forexite to go long and short on the currency” http://www.forexite.com/forexite_advantages/forex_advantages.html.

Comment: Have you ever met any book-makers;

o whose logics was coincident with that of THEIR clients (traders),

o whose stakes were being made in accordance with THEIR technical analysts forecasts, economic laws and common sense?

And what extent of doubt and skepticism should be attached to THEIR free “recommendations”, “advice”, “surveys” and “forecasts”, laid out at THEIR sites through THEIR analysts?

As a regular result, over 90% of the world traders are still loosing their deposits at FOREX each time they follow Thomas Demark stereotype that “All the economists share these underlying principles”.

Comment No.1. In as much as the above underlying principles are 90% contradictory to practice, it gives rise to the following question. Might these “underlying principles, shared by all economists including Thomas Demark” have possibly turned into dogma, alien to life and practice?

Comment No.2. What should a trader lean on: practice or dogma even if supported by great names, provided that the trader is purported at earning money?

FOREX analysts issuing their daily bulky market reviews are not FOREX traders in the overwhelming majority (see detailed discussion below). And on bringing together pairs 1, 2 and 3 there appears certain regularity.

Please, think over A. Elder words, that: “FOREX rates and the fundamental analysis are tied together with a mile-long rope. The fundamental analysis is ultimately decisive. But anything is likely to happen prior to this eventuality”. See http://forum.alpari-idc.ru/viewtopic.php?p=233365&sid=a15db5e24b0eec0a8cf725e2c5cac859).

Another, yet no less renowned trader and analyst, Bill Williams underlines the same mental regularity of an experienced professional trader (level 3 of his trader’s skill rating as per “Trading Chaos 2”): “On attaining level 3 you emerge as a self-provided pro trader. You are always familiar with the market’s basic, usually invisible structure. You no longer need to refer to others’ opinions. You needn’t read “Wall Street Journal”, watch market-oriented TV programs, and subscribe to information bulletins, waste money on information channels”.

Comment: Logically, there is a counter-implication, that if You are eager to become a successful trader, You are to restrict the influence of various surveys and recommendations on yourself even in case they originate from the world famous “Wall Street Journal”, to say nothing of crude gurus in analyst skins who use to know ahead of time where currencies will go.

Forex news is a scheduled issue of fundamental data, which as a rule impairs FOREX rates a sharp pulse of motion. But then, why the currency rates movement vector is only 50% coincident with the ABC truism logics as to where the rate should rush in case of actual news being much better or worse than the estimate. And, please, make an attempt to answer the following question, stirring for every trader: why with the new being worse than expected (say, on US economy), the USD currency would initially fall by 40 pips (news work-off) but in 5 to 10 minutes it would swivel back and would display a 200-point rally, with no account to either the issued news or to common sense.

Below are some examples:

Fig. 1. GBPUSD chart as of April 1, 2005 after the news, positive for the GBP and negative for the US economy.

(Picture you can see on author site )

In March the CIPS manufacturing index amounted to 52.0 (with the previous data revised from 51.8 to 51.6). Oil price in NYC has grown by USD 2.40 up to USD57.70 per bbl (new record of the latest 21 years). Non-farm payrolls in the USA was minimum since last July (previous data revised towards lower values). There has been a decline in the Michigan sentiment index to 92.6 (median estimate was 92.9, with 92.9 previously).

All the US indices faced a fall down. DJI at NYSE has fallen by 99.46 pips (-0.95%) towards closing at 10404.30. NASDAQ declined by 14.42 pips (-0.72%) to 1984.81. S&P500 slipped by 7.67 pips (-0.65%) to 1172.92. 30-yr US Bonds yielded 4.729 (0.037 lower as compared to the previous close). By contrary, FTSE100 has grown by 19.60 pips (+0.40%) to 4914.00.

Now, the question is to certified economists: what will happen to the GBPUSD within one day or even several hours upon publication of these data? You are right, USD should not simply fall down, it should collapse. Powerfully, swiftly. Well, well…

And this time, the same question to experienced traders. By FOREX news headlines You might have guessed that the events are taking place at the Friday American session. Correct. Initially, anyway, the GBPUSD chart will go up by 100 pips (news wok-off), followed by a pullback. Then Forex chart starts a new rally.

It is now to be tracked whether the GBP will breach the latest rally high or not. If affirmative, it will rush up by approximately 160 pips (Elliott wave 1 was 100 pips, while EW 3 is 60% longer). But if the high is not breached? The GBP currency quote will in no way come to a standstill, moreover on Friday afternoon. Hence, – down, to the starting point! And, if breached, similar situation takes shape but the counting is performed in a “down” direction (EW1, being the same 100 pips plus 187 pips from 1.8826 to 1.8759 being EW 3).

The FOREX day trading tactics will be given scrutiny in a separate chapter. A still separate chapter will be dedicated to Friday trade at American session due to its inherent specifics and to strong seemingly inappropriate movement. The movement is, of course, appropriate. To say nothing of Friday. But it will be touched upon later.

Now, getting back to the currency chart. As apparent, the GBPUSD pair movement on Friday, April, 01, 2005 is in no way in conjunction with the US economy fundamental data. Each forex trader can provide from tens to hundreds of similar instances, where the news are of a certain vector, whereas, after a fraudulent rush along the news vector, a currency applies reverse thrust.

Thereafter, the next day, in daily currency surveys, certified economists are sure to explain all to us by way of inventing another undisguised nonsense, like: “in spite of certain data, traders decided that the currency has already worked-off this side”. But! How could this occur on Apr, 01, 2005, provided that the currency has been staying flat in a narrow range in the course of the whole of the European session?

Otherwise, another explanation may emerge, that forex traders were expecting still more inferior news on the US economy… But! By how much more inferior, if according to DJ, the US non-farm payrolls MA was equivalent to 180K, with actual being +110K, estimate being +225K and prior being +243K? And in what manner do these economists count up world traders: by capita, by countries or by the funds, lost by those, who continued staying long in a holy belief in renowned academic scholars postulate of FOREX rates being tied up to countries’ economy statistics.

I wonder if I’ll ever chance to witness legal procedures to be instituted against any of those famous scholars, so that no one would dare claim that fundamental data trigger rate spikes.

The same pertains to economists, writing about the way, hundreds of thousands traders throughout the globe have conspired to conclude that it is time to reverse the trends with absolutely no grounds. Is it really feasible?

Such reading-matter is, but hammering a single question into one’s head: is it lie or is it stupidity of those cooking daily reports for taking traders for a ride, fooling them up and keeping them from the truth, which might be of great avail to them in daily trading. Traders are not a decisive factor, thus rates movement is in no way dependent on their will. Practically in no way.

Wanna check? Negotiate with tens of traders of the trading floor and arrange for a simultaneous entry long on some exotic FOREX pair. In so doing, try to push up either the NZDHKD, or the NZDCAD, or the HKDCAD. No need? I think so. You’ll certainly suffer failure with the above, to say nothing of the EUR, GBP, CHF.

Another example:

Fig.2. GBPUSD movement as of May 13, 2005.

(Picture you can see on author site )

This is an M15 chart of the American session, where the USD pair has grown by over 100 pips from 1.8583 to 1.8481 against the news, negative for the US economy:

Most indices have dropped down: DJI at NYSE – by 49.36 pips (-0.48%) to close at 10140.12; S&P500 – by 5.31 pips (-0.46%) to 1154.05. NASDAQ has grown by 12.92 pips (+0.66%) to1976.80. 30yr US Bonds yielded 4.484 (0.047 drop from previous close)

There is a fall in Michigan sentiment index. In May UMich was 85.3 with med est 90.0 and prior 87.7. So it was worse than the estimate, reaching the low since March, 2003. The index decline was being observed for the fifth month.

The April US export price index was +0.6% with prior of +0.7%.

Below are other similar examples of that same day.

Fig. 3. EURUSD chart as of May 13, 2005.

(Picture you can see on author site )

Hundreds of examples may be offered, where the Forex news vector is opposite to that of the currency movement. Practically, actual news may happen to be superior or inferior to the estimate. FOREX quotes up/down movement is also of 50/50 probability irrespective of the above.

Why does it happen and what is the way for a trader to pinpoint entries and exits? This is going to be discussed in ensuing chapters of this book and in the Masterforex-V Trading Academy proceedings.

Full text of this article and pictures of examples http://www.masterforex-v.su/

If you wish to be trained on Trading System Masterforex-V – one of new and most effective techniques of trade on Forex in the world visit http://www.masterforex-v.su/

Forex Trading

Take your time to read these few lines, as I am going to provide you with some essential forex trading info. First thing you should know is that the forex market is very profitable, because you can make money every time it moves, and believe me, it never stops moving. However, as any other trading operation, forex trading will involve a risk, so you need to make sure that you reduce it as much as you can. To do this you need to find reliable forex trading info focused precisely on showing you ways to ensure a high performance within the market. But what forex trading info should you look for in order to achieve that goal? Well, simply look for forex trading info about educational products and other forex trading tools designed to put you on the right track.. I cannot tell you enough how important this is, because when I first started with forex trading I decided to read a little bit here and there, and settled for some forex trading info provided by friends already in the market, I thought I was invincible. As it turns out, I did not do so well. Thankfully I did not lose much money and I managed to make a profit, but not nearly as much as what my friends were making. That obviously meant that I was doing something wrong, so to turn things around and start making it right, I knew I had to go out and find reliable forex trading info about educational products or forex trading tools that would allow me to enhance my performance fast. I knew that would not come without a cost, but before I payed a dime to anyone I did some insane research, and I found several places dedicated to providing forex trading info. Most of the websites I found where not very insightful, and some of them were too sale oriented. However, I kept gathering information and getting an idea of which way to go. After visiting tons forex trading info sites, I concluded that you can improve your forex trading performance in basically three ways: 1) By taking a forex trading course, which involves purchasing a good and easy to swallow e-book about forex. 2) By getting a forex trading assistant, which involves purchasing a good software or system designed to provide you with reliable signals to enter and exit the forex market at the right time for a profit. 3) By getting an automated forex trading system, which involves purchasing a good software designed to place trades and close them automatically for a profit. When confronted with these alternatives, I simply did not know where to start because you see, to me any of these options were good choices. Indeed, you can never go wrong with the first option, because knowledge is always a good thing, but if you can not -or do not want to- put the right amount of effort into the learning process, you can end up losing money instead of making a profit. The second option sounded even better to me because I would not have to make much decisions, since I simply would be pointed out the right moment to place my orders and close them for profits. However I would have to be attentive of the market movements during the day. Being lazy as a I am, I decided to start by taking the third option, because with this one I would not need to dedicate a lot of time in order to profit from the market (although after a few months with automated trading I decided to invest in a forex trading course too). Indeed, the automated forex trading system did all the work, including placing and closing the trade orders, and up so far with over 90% success rate. So as you can see, I ultimately improved my performance as I wanted, but not before I did my homework searching for good forex trading info. As I told you before, forex trading is a very profitable business, but you need to understand that you rely on market movements to make money, so if you are not in the right place at the right time, you could miss a lot of profitable entry points. By having the right tool you will never have to go through that. So before you put a dime on forex trading, start by getting some good forex trading info about educational products and forex tools that will allow you to become a successful trader from the very start. Avoid wasting time and money like I did and make money from day one.

You will save time and get very insightful and reliable forex trading info about educational forex products and tools at this site: http://www.specialonlinebusinessreviewauthority.com/

Forex Trading

There’s a truck-load of information on Forex trading available. So much so that it’s bound to confuse newbies. Some people claim it’s really easy to make profits from Forex trading…notably gurus who are selling something. Some experts would claim it’s pretty darned hard. Well, it is neither…or both. Like most things in life, there’s not one scale you can apply for all circumstances and people. It’s not rocket science; any one with average intelligence can get into and acquit themselves properly. However, like any business, Forex trading requires a significant amount of preparation, planning and commitment. 

There are Forex robots that can automatically trade for you or automated trading signals, which you simply have to pass on to your brokers. Even though the promoters of these services usually declare that you do not need to know anything about Forex trading to use them profitably, it is obviously makes sense to learn as much as you can before you plunge in. It is your money that is at stake here, however you have gotten it. Therefore, you need to do your research, due diligence, if you will. That said, you have to be careful to avoid analysis paralysis. 

Obviously, the first thing you need is to understand the fundamentals of Forex trading. It is common knowledge that Forex trading is a based on playing currency exchange rates, for instance buying a currency at a lower rate and selling when the rate increases. While this is the core of it, there are many things to learn about how exactly the whole system works in order to make real profit. 

Forex Terminology 

You should make sure you check out definitions or explanations of common Forex terminology. You will encounter a number of terms such as trends, breakout, stop loss, pips, spreads and so on while researching on Forex strategies. Therefore, you need to learn what each term means. There are a lot of websites on the Internet that provide explanations of Forex terms for free. 

Forex Quotes 

Another very important thing you need to know is how to read Forex quotes. Remember, the Forex quotes are listed in pairs, such as USD/JPY 108.32. In a currency pair, the first currency is the base currency. The number indicates the rate of the second currency (counter currency) against 1 unit of the base currency.  In case of USD/JPY 108.32, 1 USD is equivalent to 108.32 JPY. This simply means that you can buy 108.32 JPY with 1 USD. 

There is another form of Forex quoting that consists of a bid and an ask price. An example of this would be USD/CAD 1.2000/1.2009. Here 1.2000 CAD is the Bid (Sell) price and 1.2009 CAD is the Ask (Buy) price. The quote means that you can buy 1 USD with 1.2009 CAD and if you sell 1 USD you will get 1.2000 CAD. 

How Trading is Conducted 

Once you are confident in your understanding of the basics of what Forex trading is, start researching on how trades are conducted. What happens when you buy a currency pair? What charges will you have to pay, if any? What other factors influence or are influenced by the trade? This will give you a theoretical knowledge of what you are going to try out practically once you set up your account and start trading in reality. 

Forex Strategies 

In order to be profitable at Forex Trading, you should have a Forex strategy that you follow. It obviously wouldn’t work to stare at the Forex charts, try to determine the trends of the current price then buy a currency that you think is going up in price and hope that it does not reverse. Forex trading is based on speculation, but you have to make sure you speculate as correctly as possible. In order to do this, you should follow a tried and tested Forex strategy. There are long-term as well as short-term strategies. You can choose one based on your comfort level. 

Forex Trading

The foreign exchange market, or Forex market, is an around-the-clock cash market where the currencies of nations are bought and sold, typically via brokers. Forex trading is always done in currency pairs. For example, you buy Euros, paying with U.S. Dollars, or you sell Canadian Dollars for Japanese Yen. The value of your Forex investment increases or decreases because of changes in the currency exchange rate or Forex rate. These changes can occur at any time, and often result from economic and political events. Using two hypothetical Forex investments, this article shows you how to calculate profit and loss in Forex trading.
To understand how the exchange rate can affect the value of your Forex investment, you need to learn how to read a Forex quote. Forex quotes are always expressed in pairs. In the following example, your pair of currencies are the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR). The Forex quote, USD/EUR = 265.50, means that one U.S. dollar is equal to 265.50 Euros. The currency to the left of the / (USD in this case) is referred to as base currency and its value is always 1. The currency to the right of the / (EUR in this case) is referred to as the counter currency. In this example, one U.S. Dollar can buy 265.50 Euros, since it is the stronger of the two currencies.
Because the U.S. dollar is regarded as the central currency of the Forex market, it is always treated as the base currency in any Forex quote where it is one of the pairs. Incidentally, the U.S. Dollar is involved in nearly 90% of all Forex transactions.
In this second example, your pair of currencies are the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Euro (EUR). The Forex quote, JPY/EUR = 175.10, means that one Japanese Yen is equal to 175.10 Euros. The currency to the left of the / (JPY in this case) is referred to as base currency and its value is 1. The currency to the right of the / (EUR in this case) is referred to as the counter currency. In this example, one JPY can buy 175.10 Euros, since it is the stronger of the two currencies.
Let’s go now to our hypothetical Forex investment to show how you can profit or come up short in Forex trading. In this example, your pair of currencies are the U.S. Dollar and the Euro. The Forex rate of EUR/USD on August 26, 2003 was 1.0857, which means that one U.S. Dollar was equal to 1.0857 Euros, and was the weaker of the two currencies. If you had bought 1,000 Euros on that date, you would have paid $1,085.70.
One year later, the Forex rate of EUR/USD was 1.2083, which means that the value of the Euro increased in relation to the USD. If you had sold the 1,000 Euros one year later, you would have received $1,208.30, which is $122.60 more than what you had started with one year earlier.
Conversely, if the Forex rate one year later had been EUR/USD = 1.0576, the value of the Euro would have weakened in relation to the U.S. Dollar. If you had sold the 1,000 Euros at this Forex rate, you would have received $1,057.60, which is $28.10 less than what you had started out with one year earlier.
As with stocks and mutual funds, there is risk in Forex trading. The risk results from fluctuations in the currency exchange market. Investments with a low level of risk (for example, long-term government bonds) often have a low return. Investments with a higher level of risk (for example, Forex trading) can have a higher return. To achieve your short-term and long-term financial goals, you need to balance security and risk to the comfort level that works best for you.

Forex Trading

Many automated forex trading systems say that there is no need to have any experience if you trade with automated forex trading systems. Because the automated forex trading systems will automatically place orders for you with out any human intervention. Is this really so?

But this is absolutely wrong. Until and unless you have some trading experience and some knowledge on forex trading you can’t make profits with forex trading systems.

To make consistent profits with automated forex trading systems, you need know the various forex trading strategies. Forex trading strategies are very important whether you trade forex manually or you trade with automated forex trading systems. There are many strategies while trading forex. But all those strategies won’t be useful while you trade with automated forex trading systems. There only a few which can be used while you trade with forex system software.

Before having your own automated forex system, take a good forex course. In internet there are lots of e-books and e-courses are available. Buy a good one and put that for your reference for your life time. There is another best way to learn! If any of you friends are already in forex trading then learn from them. They will tell you all the insider secrets and also the mistakes that often many people do. This is something like live training for you. If there is no one for you to teach forex trading like that, then better go for good forex e-book or a forex e-course. Generally, do not go for free e-course. They will make you learn the basics and some terminology but never tell you the insider secrets or the forex strategies.

After having your e-course, now pick up the various forex strategies that you have learnt. Now get a best automated forex trading system and put it on demo mode and test it with various forex strategies that you have learnt. Now filter out the strategies those does not work with your automated forex trading system. Now you will be left with some strategies that work with your forex trading system software. By doing this you will have better hands on your automated forex trading system and you also know which strategy works well with your forex system software. Now with this you are ready to trade with real accounts.

I summarize that, if you really want to trade with automated forex trading system and make consistent profits, prepare well and learn the strategies. Forex strategies are very important whether you trade manually or you trade with automated forex system software. To make consistent profits with forex trading system, a forex strategy is very necessary. Do not believe the captions that “no prior forex trading experience is needed if you have an automated forex trading system!” Prior forex trading experience is needed! Click Here to get instant access to the best Automated Forex Trading System!

Forex Trading

Did you know that you can find a market that is open 24 hours a day? The market is called Forex market and if you go there, you can’t find services, commodities and goods. The Forex market is the place where different kinds of currencies are traded. In every trade, two currencies are involved. For instance, you can sell your Canadian dollars for Euros; or you can pay Japanese Yen for US dollars. Forex rates or exchange rates can change unexpectedly. You need to monitor these exchange rates in order to determine if the price of a certain currency increased or decreased.

Changes in the Forex market usually occur quickly and so it is important for traders to keep track of the market. Political and economic events can influence the changes in the Forex market. If you want to determine whether you’re gaining or losing in Forex trading, this article can help you with the calculations.

The Forex investment is greatly affected by the exchange rate and in order to understand the relationship between the two, you should also be familiar with Forex quotes. Like the currency pairs, Forex quotes can be found in pairs as well. Here is a very good example:

1.Suppose the currency pair is USD (US dollar) and CAD (Canadian dollar)

The Forex quote for this pair is USD/CAD=170.50; this is interpreted as ‘every one US dollar is equivalent to 170.50 CAD. The currency found at the left side is known as the base currency and it is always equivalent to 1. The currency found at the right side is called counter currency. The stronger currency is always the base currency and in this case, the USD. The Forex quote’s central currency is USD and so you can find it in most Forex quotes.

How can you determine if you’re earning profits or not? You can use another example.

2.This time use EUR to USD. Assuming that the Forex rate is 1.0857; in this example, the USD is the weaker currency. If you bought 1,000 Euros, you will need to pay $1,085.70. After a year, the Forex rate was at 1.2083 and this means that the Euro’s value increased. If you decide to sell the 1,000 Euros now, you will get $1,208.30; now, in this transaction, you gained $122.60. What if the Forex rate a year after was 1.0576? This means that the Euro’s value weakened. If you still decide to sell the 1,000 Euros, you will only receive $1,057.60 which means that you lost $28.10; did you get it?

Forex trading involves a lot of risks just like mutual funds and stocks. The fluctuations in the exchange market are responsible for such risks. Low level risks like government bonds in the long-term can give returns but are quite low. If you want to get higher returns, you need to invest in Forex trading but you need to face higher level risks.

You must set financial goals for the short term, as well as for the long term. By doing so, it will be much easier to balance the risks involved and the security. You will be able to conduct your trades with ease and comfort. Make use of all the available Forex trading tools so that you can make wise and profitable trades. After reading this article, you can already calculate if you’re gaining profits or not.

Forex Trading

The Forex trading market is an around-the-clock cash market where the currencies of nations are bought and sold, typically via brokers. For example, you buy Euros, paying with U.S. Dollars, or you sell Canadian Dollars for Japanese Yen. Forex trading market conditions can change at any moment in response to real-time events, such as political unrest or the rate of inflation. The purpose of this article is to give you an introduction to common Forex trading terms and their definitions.

Ask Price: The ask price is the price you can buy at.

Base Currency: The currency to the left of the / in a Forex quote is the base currency. Its value is always 1. In the Forex quote, EUR/USD = 1.3489, EUR is the base currency.

Bid/Ask Spread: The bid/ask spread or simply spread is the “distance” between the bid and ask prices. This spread is usually expressed in pips.

Bid Price: The bid price is the price you can sell at.

Counter Currency: The currency to the right of the / in a Forex quote is the counter currency. In the Forex quote, EUR/USD = 1.3489, USD is the counter currency.

Forex Deal: The purchase or sale of a currency.

Forex Quote: Forex quotes are always expressed in pairs. In the following example, your “pair” of currencies are the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR). The Forex quote, EUR/USD = 1.3489, means that one Euro is equal to 1.3489 U.S. dollars.

Fundamental Analysis: A fundamental analysis uses economic and political factors, such as housing starts, the unemployment rate, or inflation, as a means of predicting currency movements. Fundamental analysis is concerned with the reasons for currency movements.

Long Position: A long position is a market position that appreciates in value if the market price increases.

Lot: 1 lot is equal to 100,000 units of the base. Likewise, 2 lots are equal to 200,000 units of the base, 3 lots are equal to 300,000 units of the base, and so on.

Margin: Margin is referred to as the collateral needed to facilitate A Forex deal. Usually, this is a very small portion of the entire deal, say 1% or 1:100. However, margin is a “double-edged sword.” Without the proper use of risk management tools (that is, stop-loss and take-profit orders), you can experience substantial losses as well as gains.

Open Position: When your Forex deal is running, you hold an “open position.”

Pip: The spread between the bid and ask prices.

Short Position: A short position is a market position that appreciates in value if the market price decreases.

Stop Loss Order: A market order to close a Forex position if or when losses reach a pre-set threshold.

Take Profit Order: A market order to close a Forex position if or when profits reach a pre-set threshold.

Technical Analysis: A technical analysis uses historical data as a means of predicting currency movements. The technical analyst believes that history repeats itself over and over again. Technical analysis is not concerned with the reasons for currency movements (for example, interest rates or inflation). Instead, it believes that historical currency movements are a clear indication of future ones.

As with stocks and mutual funds, there is risk in Forex trading. The risk results from fluctuations in the currency exchange market. Investments with a low level of risk (for example, long-term government bonds) often have a low return. Investments with a higher level of risk (for example, Forex trading) can have a higher return. To achieve your short-term and long-term financial goals, you need to balance security and risk to the comfort level that works best for you.

Forex Trading

What are most people actually looking for in a forex trading guide, so that it can help them achieve their dreams of making millions from forex trading? I would say that a good forex trading guide would have consist of forex trading basics, forex technical analysis, fundamental analysis, trading psychology, forex trading systems, money management rules, forex glossary, how to choose forex broker etc. Some of the forex trading guides provides forex trading tutorials to introduce you to the global forex trading, so that you will know how to trade forex in a shorter time and help you become a successful and profitable forex trader. Along the way, you will gain an understanding of how foreign exchange prices move and how to develop your own trading system. Some guides include forex trading tips, which is important for those who are new to trading, but also adds value to advanced traders too. Let’s zoom in into some of the contents that are provided in a forex trading guide. Basically, you can find contents like the mechanics and introduction to forex trading, how to be a profession forex trader etc in the forex basics section. Forex technical analysis helps you to be able to read forex charts, use of Fibonacci, support and resistance etc. Are you a very emotional person who reacts hugely to cases when you win or lose money? If you are, the trading psychology part will teach you how you can control your emotions, how you can overcome greed etc when it comes to trading. You may find that most people first thing will look for the trading system, let it be a forex course, an ebook, or a tutorial. Why is that so? Most people thought that they can profit with the trading system alone, which is untrue as there is a need for money management and emotions control too! There are many forex trading systems out there in the world, but you have to find one that fits your personality. There are methods like forex scalping, forex trend trading, breakout system and the list continues. Most traders love automated forex trading as a forex trading software will trade for them without having to open and close a trade manually. Of course, there are pitfalls in those systems too! So by the time you have gone through everything in a forex trading guide, provided that guide is not a slumdog, and have found your trading system with money management, discipline and emotions control, you should be ready to make money trading forex online.

Forex Trading

First what is Forex: The FOREX or Foreign Exchange market is the largest financial market in the world, with an volume of more than $1.5 trillion daily, dealing in currencies. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location, no central exchange. It operates through an electronic network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one currency for another.

The Forex, or foreign currency exchange, is all about money. Money from all over the world is bought, sold and traded. On the Forex, anyone can buy and sell currency and with possibly come out ahead in the end. When dealing with the foreign currency exchange, it is possible to buy the currency of one country, sell it and make a profit. For example, a broker might buy a Japanese yen when the yen to dollar ratio increases, then sell the yens and buy back American dollars for a profit.

Prices of currency are influenced by a number of factors such as political and economic conditions in the issuing country. Interest rates, inflation and political stability are all factors in the prices of a currency. Governments try to control their currency prices by lowering the price (flooding the market), or by raising the price and buying on a large-scale. Although the volume of Forex is sizable, it’s still impossible to have any control of a market for any length time and because market forces normally prevail in the long run, Forex has become one of the fairest investment opportunities available.

Each currency in the Forex market is given its own three letter code that is used in the Forex quotes. The most common and widely used currencies used in the Forex market are USD (U.S. dollars), GBP (United Kingdom pounds), JPY (Japanese yen), CAD (Canadian dollars), EUR (European euros), AUD (Australian dollars) and CHF (Swiss francs). These currencies are the top foreign currencies to watch in the Forex trading game. The prices of the foreign currency exchanges are specified in pairs by the forex quotes. By using a currency pair of U.S. dollars and European euros in the example below, the first currency is called the base (which is always at 1) and the second currency is called the quote (which shows how much it costs to buy one unit of the USD, or base currency):
USD/EUR = 0.8419. When reversed, this is the cost of USD to buy one euro: EUR/USD = 1.1882.

The base currency is growing stronger when the price of the quote currency goes up, therefore only one unit of the base currency can buy more of the quote currency. However, if the quote currency begins to fall then the base currency will become weaker. All forex quotes are perceived as a “ask” or a “bid” price. The ask price is what sellers will sell the base currency at, while at the same time be buying the quote currency. The bid price is what the buyers will pay for the base currency, also while selling the quote currency. For example, a symbol bid ask of:USD/CAD 1.2392 1.2397. This shows that you can buy one U.S. dollar for 1.2397 Canadian dollars, or you can also sell one U.S. dollar for 1.2392 Canadian dollars. You can find the exchange rates in cross country charts that list numerous types of currencies with their values against one another. There are also currency conversion calculators, all of which are readily available online.

Along with the U.S. dollar, United Kingdom pound, Japanese yen, Canadian dollars, European euros, Australian dollars and Swiss francs as some of the top currencies to watch in the forex trading game; some new currencies have been emerging. Be sure to keep an eye out on these emerging currencies: CNY (China yuan), CZK (Czech koruna), HKD (Hong Kong dollar), HUF (Hungarian Forint), INR (Indian Rupee), KRW (Korean Won), MXN (Mexican Peso), PLN (Polish Zloty), SGD (Singapore dollar), ZAR (South African Rand), and THB (Thai Baht). These currencies may not be one of the top currencies now, but they can make for some good investments. Taking two examples out of all of the emerging currencies:

The Czech koruna is a convertible, yet free floating currency that has been floating around since May 1997. All foreign investors have unrestricted access to these local markets. London banks continue to be very active in currency trading and accounts for nearly 60% of the daily turnover. This market is liquid for about five years. The Interest Rate Swaps, or the IRS, is mainly driven by offshore banks.

The China yuan is only limited to financial institutions and onshore companies and is not liquid. Currently the USD/CNY rate is about 8.2770 and is being closely managed by the central bank (PBOC). The Chinese government has resisted all calls for them to revalue their currency; but as the Chinese government continues to strengthen their banking systems and make reforms in their economic policies, there is likely to be a possible call for opening spot trading. The interbank money market does not go beyond four months.

Knowing the top currencies to watch in Forex trading will get you in the game.

Forex Trading

I bet you are well aware of the existent of FOREX trading nowadays. FOREX market exists wherever one currency is traded for another. FOREX, or Foreign Exchange Market, is generally works as an international currency exchange market. Investors and speculators are allowed to trade currencies from all around the world thru FOREX trading. Major currencies traded nowadays are United States dollars, Australian Dollars, Japanese Yens, British Pounds, Swiss Francs, Canadian Dollars, and the Euro Dollars.
FOREX is a very unique type of trading where traders are buying and selling ‘money’ in the same time. The trades are done in pairs, such as Euro/JPY, USD/CHF, and CAD/USD. It is the world largest trading market where an average of $1.9 trillion trades is done on a daily basis. The turnover rates in FOREX are nearly 30 times larger than the total volume of equity trades in United States.
Despite its large volume of trades done daily, FOREX is relative new to the publics nonetheless. It is only made available to publics in year 1998 where big sized inter-bank units are sliced into smaller pieces and offered to individual traders like you and me. Before that, FOREX is a game only for banks, multi national cooperation, and big currency dealers. Only those with large business size and strong financial background were permitted to trade foreign currencies.
As a matter of fact, large international banks are still the major traders in currency exchange market. Deutsche Bank is one of the top currency traders; along with other major banks like UBS, Citi Group, HSBC, Barclays, J. P. Morgan Chase, Coldman Sachs, ABN Amro, Morgan Stanley, and Merril Lynch; these banks are said to be responsible for more than 70% trades in currency market.
If you are new to FOREX trading, I bet the FOREX quotes will confuse you. USD/JPY 119.8, EUR/JPY 127.95, EUR/USD 1.2385/1.2390, and GBP/USD 1.7360/65 these figures are just too complicated.
While FOREX quotes might looks like Greeks to the new comers, the concept behind of it is simple. Currency quoted in pairs simply means the relative value compare to the other. Always remember, currency listed at first in a FOREX quote has a constant value of 1. If you see USD/JPY 119.8, this means 1 USD (the first currency listed has a constant value of 1) is equal to 119.8 Japanese Yens. The currency USD in our example is known as base currency; while we normally call the currency listed in the second as the counter.
When you are trading FOREX with currency dealer, the FOREX quotes might look a bit different from our previous example. Often, a two-sided quote, consisting of ‘bid’ and ‘ask’ price, is listed when dealing with currency brokers. For example, EUR/USD 1.2385/1.2390: 1.2385 is known as the ‘bid’ price while 1.2390 is commonly known as the ‘ask’ or ‘buy’ price. The ‘bid’ is the price at which you can sell the base currency; while the ‘ask’ is the price at which you can buy the base currency. As you study the numbers, you might realize that the two-sided currency price is quoted against you. Traders are forced to buy the currency in a higher price than the selling one. This is done because FOREX trades are done without any commission chargers. Thru quoting currency ‘bid & ask’ price differently in this way, the currency brokers are manage to make profit without charging their client commission fees directly.
Strategies in FOREX trading: Fundamental analysis and Technical analysis
Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. As in FOREX trading, government policies, bank policies, natural disasters, and speculators mood are some of the fundamentals considered to predict the currency market trends. Fundamental FOREX traders will review a country economy’s situation base on these fundamental elements and respond accordingly. To gain max, fundamentalists often apply precise method to convert study’s results into accurate entry/exit price indicator.
Instead of reviewing on the fundamental issues, traders from technical side define market movement according to data purely generated from the market. The term ‘Technical’ is applied in all trading fields, from commodity stocks exchange to option trading, from FOREX to futures.
Generally, the purpose of technical analysis is to find potential price reversal or pivotal points. These points basically refer the change of market trends, which then indicates when to enter or exit from the market. It is important to know that as with any other techniques in your trading system, these technical analysis indicators could be used alone or with other indicators. Traders are always recommended to learn more different technical methods to analyze different market data because none of these techniques are 100% accurate and 100% foolproof. Taking example of the ‘price’ data and the ‘time’ data, which are widely used by FOREX trader. There are some techniques consider solely on the ‘price’ factor, while some solely rely on the ‘time’ factor. The fact is if you know both technical methods, you can take both price and time into consideration during estimating market future trends. This will of course then reduce the risks of losing money in FOREX market. Also, it would be wise if traders combine both technical and fundamental techniques when trading FOREX, as a country currency value depends a lot on fundamental variables such as war, change of national leaders, terrorism attacks, as well as natural disasters.
Without a doubt, FOREX is gaining its popularity fast against other kind of trading. No limited market access, no liquidity issues-after market hours, zero commission fees, low capital requirements with high leverage rates, and no restrictions on short selling — FOREX can be very beneficial to a variety of people. Like any other trading business, if you are new to it, best advice you can get is to learn and practice more before you test your ‘wings’. Forex trading course, seminars, eBooks, Internet, papers, all these are helpful to raise your confidence level before you trade with your real hard-earn dollars. Plan your investment wisely by investing first on yourself; you shall get your reward at the end of the road.

Forex Trading